University of Colorado Forecasters Revise Hurricane Season Forecast

Now predicting 13 named storms citing a cooling Atlantic Ocean.

Hurricane forecasters at the University of Colorado have made a slight downward adjustment in their 2018 hurricane forecast. They now say there will be 13 named storms, including Subtropical storm Alberto which affected our Memorial Day weekend.

The prediction is now for a near normal season. The east coast of Florida has a 30 percent chance of experiencing the landfall of a major hurricane of Category 3, 4 or 5.

The change is due to an unexpected cooling of the Atlantic Ocean over the past two months. The far North Atlantic remains colder than normal, which is possibly a sign of a negative phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation. Such negative phases tend to be associated with conditions that are less conducive for Atlantic hurricane activity.

But as always, the University of Colorado forecasters remind those living in coastal areas that it only takes one hurricane to make for a busy season, and residents of areas like our beach communities need to be sure they are prepared for a storm every season.


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